It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Full Leaderboard . I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Its a good number if nothing else. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Riley Hamel. That consistency with the irons is hard to come by this far down the board, and is a crucial skillset to have at TPC Scottsdale. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). Zozo: Sungjae Im. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. After two Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Two prop bets One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Tee times in this area. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. by Mastercard. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. RELATED: Phil Mickelson drops to depressingly low standing in the Official World Golf Ranking. WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. Skip to navigation. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Houston Open: Jason Day. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Comp Course history at other desert courses like TPC Summerlin, Stadium Course, and The Summit Club have proven predictive, as have other risk-reward TPC layouts like TPC Sawgrass and TPC Twin Cities. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. World No. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Since a second-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open, Keegan Bradley has tied for 20th at the WM Phoenix Open and missed the weekend at Riviera thanks to an opening-round 75. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Genesis: Justin Thomas. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. Arnold Palmer Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. 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